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late friday night into early saturday morning. there will be a landfall, it's not a big deal, with a weak storm system you're not going to have the eye of the hurricane or anything like that. it's just, that's when the center will cross. we'll watch that on radar. it looks like, houston, you're out of the cone of uncertainty. that's this yellow cone. it should come onshore around corpus christi or brownsville and then it will dissipate as it moves into the mountainous terrain. here's how the computer models, each of these squigly lines represents each computer, and an almost unanimous decision, it will take us south to corpus christi. only one of our computers is hinting on a northward's track. in the dark red, this is where we need the rainfall the most, so it's actually going to head for a beneficial area. the problem is, it's such a small tropical storm that it's not going to be a widespread, it's not going to hit a large area. it's only going to have a small impact. and ed why, talk about -- they would just like the clouds from this storm. with 101 in san antonio, 104 in
>>> the big story today, boiling point. good afternoon, i'm matt miller in for dylan ratigan as dylan continues book on his upcoming book "greedy bastards." the debt debate coming down to threats, the new deal president obama and speaker boehner are working on reportedly includes $3 trillion in cuts, but only a promise of tax reform matched with triggers to punish each party if congress doesn't follow through. dems will lose a key component of health care reform, the individual mandate. the gop has the bush tax cuts at stake. the president "today show"ing his true feelings about the constant white house meetings on debt. take a listen. >> there's nothing i enjoy more than sitting hour after hour day after day debating the fine points of the federal budget with members of congress. >> a little presidential irony. meantime two other options are doa, the house cut, cap and balance act. it was pretty senseless. they won't take up the mcconnell fallback plan because harry reid wants to see what comes out of the white house. mike viqueira is live outside the white house where he sa
people on board. it looks like right now they're headed in the right direction toward a big plan, exactly what the president wanted. lynn? >> brian, thanks so much. well, last night on "chris matthews," chris asked gang of six senators, mark warner what sets their deficit reduction plan apart from other proposals put forth by republicans? >> this is the first time we've seen a bipartisan plan that includes revenues, that, it really is comprehensive, it's bipartisan. it isn't perfect. but when the alternative is we're going to drive this country over the cliff, i think we've got to start with something that actually gets the job done, that gives us that comprehensive approach, and the fact that we had a whole lot of democrats and republicans yesterday saying, yeah, i'm ready to at least move to the next step, was a good sign. we've got to realize we're 13 days away from a default. we're 13 days away from an indirect tax increase with every american where their interest rates skyrocket and the government can't pay its bills. we've got to be responsible and get something done. if we can buil
that she could catch fire. look, when you start this thing, when you win iowa, if you win iowa big, that thing starts rolling through new hampshire and south carolina, it's over in weeks. i agree 100%. >> how was she going in philadelphia suburbs? how is she going to do in the i-4 corridor and in wisconsin? how is she going to do in new mexico, arizona? i would suggest, with swing voters not well at all. >> there's no doubt if you nominate michele bachmann, it's an enormous risk. the only conditions, i think, under which i believe she could win the presidency, if people say, if they did in 1980, i don't care, i'm taking a chance with this guy because what we got we can't stand, you get 9% or 10% unemployment, two more years, this country is ready for a lot of change. more "morning joe" in a moment. with the hotels.com 48-hour sale, the possibilities are endless. interesting... save up to 50% this tuesday and wednesday only. hotels.com. be smart. book smart.  finally, there's a choice for my patients with an irregular heartbeat called atrial fibrillation, or afib, that's not cause
is it shows that the united states system is not set up to do big things. when a crisis like this comes up they cannot do a deal that would show stability to the world. >> ronald reagan and tip o'neal made big deals. in the 1990s, bill clinton and the republican congress made big deals. and mika, it's not over yet, but it has gotten to the point already that this is damaging the reputation of the united states the longer it goes, and i think we're talking about it damaging our reputation more every day that the crisis goes on. >> i think both sides would agree with that. after a weekend of meetings resulting in yet another impasse, president obama is canceling two fundraisers today to continue negotiations. senate majority leader harry reid said the talks broke down last night because of the republicans insistence on a short-term deal, and their plan would cut $2.7 trillion over the next ten years. officials say it raises the debt ceiling but no tax increases. and he salaid out his latest solution. >> there will be a two-stage possible. it's not physically possible to do this in one step.
a stumbling block along the way to a potential big agreement. they've been negotiating all along behind closed doors. alex wrshs. >> okay. thank you very much, mike. see you next hour. >>> well, this week's nbc news-wall street journal poll found a majority of americans are worried about the effects of not striking a deal soon. 55% of voters say it is a real and serious problem if they fail to raise the debt limit. 18% say it would not be a problem. i'm joined now about nbc's deputy political director mark murray. good morning to you, mark. >> good morning, alex. >> as we look at that poll, most americans want to see something get done. why can't washington make this happen? >> well, according to our poll, alex, almost all americans want some type of compromise, but not everyone does. overwhelming majorities of democrats and independents say they want democratic leaders to compromise. also, an overwhelming majority of political independents want republican leaders to comp midz. the exception? a majority of republican respondents want their republican leaders to hold their ground and stick thei
and msnbc's coverage continues right now. >>> tax grab -- big airlines decide not to pass on savings from the temporary government tax halt to consumers. >>> and sticker shock -- a japanese department store offers one of the most expensive box lunches ever. good morning, i'm amara sohn, those stories and more are straight ahead on "first look" on msnbc. >>> we begin this morning with dueling over the debt. president obama and house speaker, john boehner escalated the battle over the debt limit last night. they both appealed to american television viewers in speeches that reflect the two sides being farther apart than ever on the issue. nbc's tracey potts has more from washington. >> we're now one week away from the deadline for default and it looks like the white house and congress are no closer to a deal. >> this is no way to run the greatest country on earth. it's a dangerous game that we've never played before. and we can't afford to play it now. >> reporter: president obama is taking his behind closed doors fight public, urging taxpayers to pressure republicans into co
, bill. >>> a big euro debt deal. a new owner for chrysler and a royal dash duty free, your look at business headlines is straight ahead. >>> coming up, washington fans actually happy jason worth is struggling and nfl owners are ready for football. but are the players? you're watching "first look" on msnbc. [ female announcer ] now you can apply sunblock to your kids' wet skin. new neutrogena® wet skin kids. ordinary sunblock drips and whitens. neutrogena® wet skin cuts through water. forms a broad spectrum barrier for full strength sun protection. wet skin. neutrogena®. >>> welcome back to "first look." i'm lynn berry. here's some of the top stories making news this morning. senior defense officials tell nbc news today the pentagon will announce that both secretary of defense leon panetta and all of the joint chiefs have certified the military is ready to repeal don't ask don't tell. president obama signed the repeal of the military's ban on openly gay troops in december. since then, the military has been preparing personnel for lifting the ban. >>> a new cnn poll shows 64% o
't. >> it could mean big losses on wall street and beyond. asian and european stocks are tight. the ceos of some of the biggest banks are expressing their concern. ceos of banks including goldman sachs, bank of america say this, a default on our nation's obligations or downgrade of america's credit rating would be a tremendous blow to business and investors in an already difficult economic circumstances. steve rattner. >> look, the fact is, this government, at the moment, ironically, at a time when people are saying let's not forget about jobs. this government is doing their best to destroy jobs as we are sitting here. business needs confidence. it needs some idea of what is going to happen. i don't know if you follow what's going out of the faa. there are 4,000 faa contractors out of work because the democrats and republicans can't agree on subsidies. they are just sitting there doing nothing instead of building infrastructure. the republicans and democrats can't agree on one tiny issue. >> there's no level of certainty. all different levels of this country. >> wouldn't that be the goal here, b
this will not be effecting anyone in the southeast u.s. let's get back to the heat wave because this is the big story of the week. historic heat wave. last week we had a heat wave for a couple weeks but this one will last all week. we have excessive heat warning in st. louis from now until friday. that's unheard of to go that long. huge ridge of high pressure will expand and head to the eastern seaboard where it's going to get uncomfortable as we head to the end of the week into the upcoming weekend. the dangerous heat right now, if you're elderly, the children, you know, day after day, anyone without air conditioning, is going to be in the orangish color. we're used to the heat in the dallas area. it's been 10 0 degrees now 16 days in a row. but you only have heat at vizryes to your north. it's where the humidity is very high. heat indexes will be in the dangerous level from minneapolis, all of iowa, kansas city, omaha, st. louis. how hot will it be? kansas city around 9, same for you in st. louis. when you add in oppressive humidity, it's not your typical humidity. ipts much more humid than it shou
with political philosophy in the house. as the debt line approaches and house republicans are going to have a big choice -- they picked this fight with the president for a reason, the debt limit is not going to be raised unless we do something on the deficit projections now and in to the future. but the problem with the house republicans is, they never answered affirmatively in a politically sa political politically saliable way what the a the answer should be. you have to have a plan that can pass both chambers and the president can sign. otherwise, you're talking past the other party. >> the question is, nicole, what is republican position right now? at the end of last week, we had republican leaders on in the house, guys i like very much personally. been a champion of paul ryan. back from the time i met him, in 1994. but we ask, what do you want? and their position was, it's not enough to close the tax loopholes. we've got to cut tax rates, income tax rates for individuals and corporations. that's not going to happen in 2011. they know it's not going to happen. i say, okay, let's say you got t
believes that the boehner problem is anything more than a big, wet kiss to the right wing. i mean the tea party. that's what i mean. it's too bad the caucus is run by so little people. >> when i asked the plan, the aids pointed to a speech. congress can't vote on a speech. a veto threat won't prevent default. >> we are urging the republicans to step back, put their party caucuses aside, put their pledges to grover norquist aside and put this country first. >> it's unfair from the president of the united states to lead from behind. it's unfair for the president of the united states not to come forward with a specific plan that, perhaps to be considered by both bodies, but only to go out and give lectures. >> we are not going to hold this country hostage to the tea party. those folks over there, about 80 of them, they pledged to grover norquist. i want to pledge allegiance to the united states of america. that's what we should be doing. >> good morning. it is thursday, july 28th. look at the beautiful shot of new york city. welcome to "morning joe." yes, with us on set -- >> look at him. >>
't want this man to get the chance to spread the message that he wants to spread today. it's a big decision. there's a lot of people here. you can imagine the frantic mood outside of the courthouse and inside this hallway. >> one of the details that jumped out over the last couple days to a lot of people was this number of 21 years. some people believethars for th death of at least 93 people if he is found dlt of that. but it's more nuanced than that. can you explain that, jay? >> it is. and 21 years is the sentence at this point. there's a new law, but there's an act that would make it longer, 30 years. what prosecutors hope to do in this case, is after that time is served, should he become guilty, if he poses a threat to society. if there's a danger in releasing him. they can convene in a panel. they can keep him detained three years. and reconvene every three years after. they can impose a life sentence here. but it will be done every three years or so to keep him behind bars. >> that's the good news. there would be a way. jay, how right now on this monday, is the city of oslo a
is the last day of the big heat here. tomorrow is a cooler day and much better next week. >> for those of us who had to walk through the city yesterday this concrete jungle when you walked past those stores with the air-conditioning blowing out, a second of relief as you walk through it. can i ask you about the humidity danger. we had 104 yesterday as you're saying that's two degrees shy of an all time high. but you know, you add in the humidity, eric, 113, 114 it feels like. how does this make things dangerous? >> it stresses your body. when you sweat you can feel when it's humid it sits on you. when that evaporates in dry air that's how your body cools off. when it's humid outside, you don't get that relief. your body is working harder that's when people succumb to heatstroke and heat related issues. that's what makes this weather so dashlgs. >> eric fisher many thanks. >>> well developing now in europe. a nation in shock this morning after a killing spree claims the lives of at least 91 people apparently carried out by one man. police in norway say they've arrested a man connected to both
, rational approach to it. markets, actually, if they know there's a big deal behind it will be quite -- wouldn't they, john heilemann? >> i think so. the time is tough right now. listen to harry reid and mitch mcconnell who know how the senate works and how long it takes to do the following things, to reform medicare and tax reform. they are things that typically can take many months to get done. >> isn't it a surprise? it wasn't a surprise the show started at 6:00 a.m. on the east coast. it's no surprise we have a deadline. >> to build the legislation is not something that can happen in the span of four or five days. you can't. the key issue is what obama will be wanting to see is the outlines of a deal where he has a good assurance the outlines of the deal can get past once the meat is put on the bones. if that's the case and the markets see that, everything will be fine. whether it's a few days extension or a couple weeks, it's going to take a lot to get to that point. there's no consensus on the house side among house republicans in favor of what the gang of six is doing. as we s
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and a beautiful summer. we ought to get outside and debate the big picture, what kind of country we want to live in, what kind of country we want this to be. that's why i like politics, roosevelt, reagan, kennedy, the stuff even young kids like me cared about. that's "hardball," thanks for being with us. "the last word with lawrence o'donnell" starts right now. >> joel burns is with us tonight to respond to michele bachmann's statement on bullying. but bullying isn't the only danger the tea party just doesn't understand. >> first of all, you don't look happy on the front page of "the new york times." >> first, speaker of the house john boehner, it doesn't get better. >> the speaker of the house is being whip sawed today between his tea party caucus. >> this is the moment of the boehner speakership. >> the plan is officially a flop. >> the budget office downgrading the revenue projections. >> told gop lawmakers to get their "blank" in line. >> get their behind in line, thomas. >> he was really cracking the whip. >> it says boehner's grip on his caucus is put to test in standoff. >> the world's sa
't talk about the gang of six plan. what i like is it's talking about big bold bipartisan plan, a lot of details not out about it. it does talk about 3$3.7 trillin worth of spending cuts over the next ten years and talks about tax reform, i think is critically necessary, talks about lowering the rate, you heard 29%, again, allowing corporations to be more competitive in the global marketplace. these are things we want to accomplish and a big bold bipartisan plan is one we're looking for. >> congressman richmond, is that something you can get on board with? >> we're still looking at the plan and still concerns about reforms to social security that our seniors would receive. i think the framework and concept is something the american people want, which is a little give-and-take on both sides so we can get past this and get back to talking about the 14 million americans unemployed and looking for work. >> you're nodding your head when he's saying that, congressman dole. i'm wondering what you're hearing from your constituents and what their major concerns are when it comes to this tax pl
-terrorist organizations that are based in mexico, but that exist to supply drugs into the united states. but the big bust occurs here in the united states. as you say, think about this, friends, $60 million in cash. but let's talk about some of the drugs that authorities were able to take off the streets. meth, 2,773 pounds of it. almost the same amount of cocaine. marijuana, 14,800 pounds. and what this does is strikes a very massive blow to the operation of distribution of drugs from mexico into the united states. chris, you and i were talking with this last summer. when they got one of these thugs, his name was the barbie, they asked him, hey, how do you get all the cash back to mexico? he said well, they bring it in on tractor-trailers, you know, 18-wheelers full of cash. think about this. this is a cash-only business. they got $62 million worth of it that would go right into the coffers of these drug cartels. and it's a massive blow to these organizations, especially the distribution level of it. >> look, not to rain on the parade, because obviously this is huge and what they have done is pretty inc
, statistical picture, the big focus of it, we have studies indicating 85% of lgbt students surveyed nationally say they have been bullied at school. this is, by no means, individualized to particular school districts. >> absolutely. again, it is a nationwide problem, but there are cultures created within these school districts about how to deal with it, and you find in areas either in states or school districts where the -- they have policies prohibiting this type of activity of bullying and of prohibiting any kind of discussion about homosexuality. the suicide rates amongst lgbt teens are much lower. that's something proved out in a variety of places, the fact it's higher in anoka-hennepin point to problems there. >> joel burns, thank you for returning to "the last word" tonight. thanks, joel, for joining us again. >> i'm happy to be here and i hope the congresswoman ends her silence soon. >> thank you, joel.
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